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Most readers will have no personal recollection of the Spanish flu, which killed about 50 million people during World War I. We are accustomed to the annual seasonal flu, which we may regard as more or less serious depending upon our personal health, age, and other factors. Many of us have even had our flu shots for this year, which is considered a wise decision by many healthcare professionals. This will help us resist this year’s round of typical seasonal flu.

 

But experts are concerned about the possibility that another, more deadly, flu may emerge. Serious efforts are underway in Asia to contain the spread of H5N1, or avian flu. This has infected and killed tens of people to date. This relatively low number of deaths belies its potential danger, however. Experts recognize that this particular flu strain could find a way to mutate so it would be able to spread easily from person to person. If this occurs, the danger lies in these factors:

Humans have no immunity to this bird flu.

H5N1 is particularly deadly, killing over half of infected persons – even healthy individuals -- in a short time.

Historically, identification of a newly mutated viral strain takes months. If H5N1 becomes a pandemic flu, an effective vaccine would likely not be available before pandemic flu reaches epic proportions.

Experts generally agree that current efforts by vaccine manufacturers to shore up vaccine production fall seriously short of the demands that a pandemic would cause.

 

 

 


   
   

 

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